Fast Urbanization Causes Overestimation of Global Warming Trends

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The contribution of urbanization to the global warming tendency has not been evaluated accurately. We propose that comparing the temperature records of relocated new meteorological stations to those of old meteorological stations is a better method for evaluating the urbanization contribution than the current methods. On the Web of Science and the China National Knowledge Infrastructure, previous studies on temperature records of paired old and relocated new meteorological stations were searched and selected. As a result, we gathered temperature data from 57 paired stations and discovered that the old stations' temperature was 0.66 ℃ higher than the new stations' (-0.90 to 1.63 ℃). The urbanization process may be responsible for more than 60% of the current temperature rise trends. Furthermore, there are strong correlations between periods of global warming and regional rapid urbanization, implying that rapid urbanization causes overestimation of global warming trends. Finally, the IPCC's assessment of global warming should be revised in the next report based on paired urban and rural temperature datasets from globally relocated meteorological stations.
快速城市化导致对全球变暖趋势的高估
城市化对全球变暖趋势的贡献尚未得到准确的评估。对比迁址新气象站与旧气象站的气温记录,可以较好地评价城市化的贡献。在科学网和中国国家知识基础设施上,检索和选择了成对的旧气象站和搬迁的新气象站的温度记录。通过对57个配对台站的温度数据进行分析,发现老台站的温度比新台站的温度高0.66℃(-0.90 ~ 1.63℃)。城市化进程可能对当前气温上升趋势的60%以上负责。此外,全球变暖时期与区域快速城市化之间存在很强的相关性,这意味着快速城市化导致了对全球变暖趋势的高估。最后,IPCC对全球变暖的评估应该在下一份报告中根据全球重新安置的气象站成对的城市和农村温度数据集进行修订。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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