Coal Mining Listed Companies and Their Value: Evidence from Indonesia Stock Exchange

Anang Dwi Cahyono, R. Hendrawan
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Trend of fluctuating stock price and returns can influence investment decisions, so valuations are needed to minimize investment risk. This research aimed to assess the fair value of stock price at Coal Mining Companies listed in IDX 2018. Using Discounted Cash Flow Methods with Free Cash Flow to the Firm approach and to validate the result using relative valuation methods with PER and PBV approach. The sample of this research are ADRO, BYAN, and PTBA which are the big three coal mining company. The research data were derived from historical data years 2013 – 2017 which considered as the reference for the projection years 2018-2022 involving three scenarios namely pessimistic, moderate and optimistic scenario and the value of the research compared within market price on January 2, 2018. Findings from this research showed that using DCF-FCFF method fair value of ADRO, BYAN, and PTBA has undervalued in all scenario. Furthermore, in relative valuation method within PER and PBV approach showed PER and PBV of all sample this research is within the industry range that means a result of the calculation is proper. The conclusion of this research is to recommend buying ADRO, BYAN and PTBA shares.
煤矿类上市公司及其价值:来自印尼证券交易所的证据
股票价格和收益的波动趋势会影响投资决策,因此需要进行估值以降低投资风险。本研究旨在评估2018年IDX上市的煤炭矿业公司股价的公允价值。使用贴现现金流法和自由现金流对公司方法进行评估,并使用PER和PBV方法的相对估值方法来验证结果。本研究的样本是ADRO, BYAN和PTBA这三大煤矿公司。研究数据来源于2013 - 2017年的历史数据,作为2018-2022年预测年的参考,涉及悲观、温和和乐观三种情景,并在2018年1月2日的市场价格内比较研究价值。本研究结果表明,采用DCF-FCFF方法,ADRO、BYAN和PTBA的公允价值在所有情况下均被低估。此外,在PER和PBV的相对估值方法中,本研究所有样本的PER和PBV都在行业范围内,这意味着计算结果是正确的。本研究的结论是建议买入ADRO、BYAN和PTBA股票。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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