The Quants’ Impact on Management Education - And What We Might Do About It: A History-Framed Essay Rethinking the MBA Program

J. Spender
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

“I often say that when you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you have scarcely in your thoughts advanced to the state of Science, whatever the matter may be.” Baron William Thomson Kelvin (1824-1907) - From 'Electrical Units of Measurement', a lecture delivered at the Institution of Civil Engineers, London (3 May 1883). “The saying often quoted from Lord Kelvin (though the substance, I believe, is much older) that "where you cannot measure your knowledge is meagre and unsatisfactory," as applied in mental and social science, is misleading and pernicious. This is another way of saying that these sciences are not sciences in the sense of physical science, and cannot attempt to be such, without forfeiting their proper nature and function. Insistence on a concretely quantitative economics means the use of statistics of physical magnitudes, whose economic meaning and significance is uncertain and dubious. (Even ‘wheat’ is approximately homogeneous only if measured in economic terms.) And a similar statement would apply even more to other social sciences. In this field, the Kelvin dictum very largely means in practice, "if you cannot measure, measure anyhow!" That is, one either performs some other operation and calls it measurement or measures something else instead of what is ostensibly under discussion, and usually not a social phenomena. To call averaging estimates, or guesses, measurement seems to be merely embezzling a word for its prestige value. And it might be pointed out also that in the field of human interests and relationships much of our most important knowledge is inherently non-quantitative, and could not conceivably be put in quantitative form without being destroyed. Perhaps we do not "know" that our friends really are our friends; in any case an attempt to measure their friendship would hardly make the knowledge either more certain or more ‘satisfactory’"! Knight F. H. 1940. What is Truth in Economics? Journal of Political Economy 48(1):18n
量化经济学对管理教育的影响——以及我们可以做些什么:一篇重新思考MBA课程的历史框架文章
“我经常说,当你能衡量你所说的东西,并用数字表达出来时,你就对它有所了解;但是,当你不能测量它,当你不能用数字表达它时,你的知识是贫乏的,不能令人满意的;它可能是知识的开端,但无论事情是什么,你的思想几乎还没有发展到科学的地步。”威廉·汤姆逊·开尔文男爵(1824-1907)——摘自1883年5月3日在伦敦土木工程师学会发表的演讲《电气计量单位》。开尔文勋爵(Lord Kelvin)经常引用的那句话(尽管我相信它的内容要古老得多)“无法衡量的知识是贫乏和不令人满意的”,应用于精神科学和社会科学是误导和有害的。这是另一种说法,这些科学不是物理科学意义上的科学,也不能试图成为这样的科学,否则就会丧失其应有的性质和功能。坚持具体的数量经济学意味着使用物理量的统计,其经济意义和意义是不确定和可疑的。(即使是“小麦”,只有在用经济术语衡量时,才大致是同质的。)类似的说法甚至更适用于其他社会科学。在这个领域,开尔文的格言在实践中很大程度上意味着,“如果你不能测量,那就测量吧!”也就是说,一个人要么执行一些其他的操作,并称之为测量,要么测量的是其他东西,而不是表面上正在讨论的东西,通常不是社会现象。把平均称为估计或猜测,似乎只是为了其声望而盗用了一个词。我们还可以指出,在人类的兴趣和关系领域中,我们很多最重要的知识本质上是非定量的,如果不加以破坏,就不可能以定量的形式存在。也许我们不“知道”我们的朋友真的是我们的朋友;无论如何,试图衡量他们的友谊都很难使他们的了解更加肯定或更“令人满意”!奈特·f·h·1940。经济学中的真理是什么?政治经济学,48(1):18
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