Visual crime pattern analysis

Germain García-Zanabria, L. G. Nonato
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Abstract

Studying and analyzing crime patterns in big cities is a challenging Spatio-temporal problem. The problem’s difficulty is linked to different factors such as data modeling, unsophisticated hotspot detection techniques, Spatio-temporal patterns, and study delimitation. Previous works have mostly focused on the analysis of crimes with the intent of uncovering patterns associated to social factors, seasonality, and urban activities in whole districts, regions, and neighborhoods. Those tools can hardly allow micro-scale crime analysis closely related to crime opportunity, whose understanding is fundamental for planning preventive actions. Visualizing different patterns hidden in crime time series data is another issue in this context, mainly due to the number of patterns that can show up in the time series analysis. In this dissertation, we propose a set of approaches for interactive visual crime analysis. Relying on machine learning methods, statistical and mathematical mechanisms, and visualization, each proposed methodology focus on solving specific crime-related problems. These proposed tools to explore specific city locations turned out to be essential for domain experts to accomplish their analysis in a bottom-up fashion, revealing how urban features related to mobility, passerby behavior, and the presence of public infrastructures can influence the quantity and type of crimes. The effectiveness and usefulness of the proposed methodologies have been demonstrated with a comprehensive set of quantitative and qualitative analyses, as well as case studies performed by domain experts involving real data from different-sized cities. The experiments show the capability of our approaches in identifying different crime-related phenomena.
视觉犯罪模式分析
研究和分析大城市的犯罪模式是一个具有挑战性的时空问题。该问题的难度与数据建模、不成熟的热点检测技术、时空模式和研究划分等不同因素有关。以前的工作主要集中在分析犯罪,目的是揭示与整个地区、区域和社区的社会因素、季节性和城市活动相关的模式。这些工具几乎无法对与犯罪机会密切相关的微观犯罪进行分析,而了解这种分析是规划预防行动的基础。在这种情况下,可视化隐藏在犯罪时间序列数据中的不同模式是另一个问题,主要是由于时间序列分析中可以显示的模式数量。在本文中,我们提出了一套交互式视觉犯罪分析方法。依靠机器学习方法、统计和数学机制以及可视化,每种提出的方法都侧重于解决具体的犯罪相关问题。这些用于探索特定城市位置的建议工具对于领域专家以自下而上的方式完成他们的分析至关重要,揭示了与流动性、路人行为和公共基础设施存在相关的城市特征如何影响犯罪的数量和类型。通过一套全面的定量和定性分析,以及由领域专家进行的涉及不同规模城市真实数据的案例研究,证明了所提议方法的有效性和有用性。这些实验显示了我们的方法在识别不同的犯罪相关现象方面的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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