Proliferation of Small Arms & Light Weapons (SALWs) and Ethno-Religious Conflicts in Kaduna State, Nigeria (2012 to 2018)

Mohammed Rabiu Suleiman, Michael Ifeanyichukwu Abada Ph.D.
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Abstract

Hardly a year passes without a media report of deadly ethnoreligious conflicts in various parts of Nigeria which results in the wanton destruction of lives and property of the citizens. In the mainstream discourse, the use of small arms and light weapons (SALWs) has been variously attributed, as the trigger for the recurring ethno religious conflicts. However, this paper attempts to unravel, using evidence from primary and secondary sources, which builds upon the fragile-state theoretical framework of analysis, the phenomenal recurring incidences of ethno religious conflicts in Nigeria, with particular emphasis on Kaduna state where the phenomenon was most endemic, from 2012 to 2018. The study adopted a time-series survey research design. A multi-stage purposeful sampling technique was adopted in selecting three hundred and thirty-seven (337) respondents from the three local government areas in the study area. The data obtained were statistically analyzed using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Though our research question was: ‘did the proliferation of small arms and light weapons (SALWs) precipitates the recurring ethnoreligious conflicts in Kaduna state during the period 2012 to 2019?’; the findings, however, reveal that a multicollinearity of factors, notably, high-level of illiteracy, endemic poverty, unemployment, inequality and widespread drug-abuse among the youths, concomitantly explains the behavior of our dependent variable, i.e., the recurring ethno-religious conflicts in Kaduna state during the period 2012 to 2018. To mitigate and possibly annihilate this ever-recurring social anathema in Nigeria, the Nigerian government, should, as a matter of urgency, address the multifaced vices of poverty, unemployment, social and economic inequality as well as endemic illiteracy bedeviling the society in Nigeria in general, but particularly in Kaduna state.
尼日利亚卡杜纳州小武器和轻武器扩散与种族-宗教冲突(2012 - 2018)
几乎每年都有媒体报道尼日利亚各地发生致命的种族和宗教冲突,造成公民生命和财产的肆意破坏。在主流话语中,小武器和轻武器的使用被认为是反复出现的民族宗教冲突的导火索。然而,本文试图利用基于脆弱国家理论分析框架的第一手和第二手来源的证据,揭示2012年至2018年尼日利亚反复发生的民族宗教冲突现象,并特别强调这种现象最普遍的卡杜纳州。本研究采用时序调查研究设计。采用多阶段有目的抽样技术,从研究区域的三个地方政府区域中选择了337(337)名受访者。所得资料采用方差分析(ANOVA)进行统计学分析。虽然我们的研究问题是:“2012年至2019年期间,小武器和轻武器的扩散是否促成了卡杜纳州反复出现的种族宗教冲突?”然而,研究结果显示,多种因素的多重共线性,特别是高文盲率、普遍贫困、失业、不平等和年轻人普遍滥用毒品,同时解释了因变量的行为,即2012年至2018年期间卡杜纳州反复出现的种族-宗教冲突。为了减轻并可能消除尼日利亚这种不断出现的社会诅咒,尼日利亚政府应该作为一项紧急事项,解决贫困,失业,社会和经济不平等以及普遍困扰尼日利亚社会的普遍文盲问题,特别是在卡杜纳州。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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