Testing Dutch disease syndrome via foreign direct investment: A case for Mauritius

B. R. B. Cotobaly, B. Seetanah, N. G. Ramdhany, R. B. Babajee
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Abstract

The primary linkage of Dutch Disease is based on large influx FDI leading to the appreciation of the real effective exchange rate, together affecting a country’s export competitiveness. The existence of a Dutch Disease syndrome is tested in the Mauritian economy by using annual time series data sourced from official foundations from 1980 to 2019. We captured the Dutch Disease syndrome through 2 main effects namely through i) the REER appreciation due to FDI and ii) a decline in export’s competitiveness. After investigation, using a Vector Error Correction Model, it is observed that Mauritius has not experienced such a disease with respect to the arrival of FDI because the government and local firms were successful in implementing right and stable policies.
通过外国直接投资检验荷兰病综合征:毛里求斯的一个案例
荷兰病的主要联系是,大量外国直接投资流入导致实际有效汇率升值,共同影响到一个国家的出口竞争力。通过使用来自1980年至2019年官方基金会的年度时间序列数据,在毛里求斯经济中测试了荷兰病综合征的存在。我们通过两个主要影响捕获了荷兰病综合征,即i)由于外国直接投资导致的REER升值和ii)出口竞争力下降。在使用矢量误差修正模型进行调查后,观察到毛里求斯在外国直接投资到来方面没有出现这种疾病,因为政府和当地公司成功地实施了正确和稳定的政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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