Updating the Technological Foundation of Production and Percentage Policy

V. Dementiev
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Abstract

The continuing trajectory of the development of the Russian economy does not lead to overcoming Russia’s lag behind the leading countries in terms of labor productivity. Technological inertia is one of the reasons for this lag. In the modern economy, unicorn companies play an important role in updating the technological base of production. There are fast-growing companies in Russia, but they don’t become unicorns. Unprofitable organizations and zombie companies pull off a significant part of the demand and hinder the continuation of the expansion of fast-growing companies. In a number of industries, the risk of investing in new technologies increases due to the low utilization of existing capacities. These circumstances limit the possibilities of boosting investments by lowering real interest rates. Such a measure can increase the availability of loans for firms focused on technological innovation. However, at the same time, it can prolong the existence of zombie firms that restrain the development of innovative enterprises. Time-limited licensing of the creation of new capacities is advisable in industries with strong economies of scale. This will help the formation of leading companies in the technological transformation of the Russian economy. The central bank’s measures to restrict evergreen lending to zombie firms can help transform fast-growing firms into unicorn companies.
更新生产技术基础和比例政策
俄罗斯经济的持续发展轨迹并没有导致俄罗斯克服在劳动生产率方面落后于主要国家的问题。技术惰性是造成这种滞后的原因之一。在现代经济中,独角兽公司在更新生产技术基础方面发挥着重要作用。俄罗斯也有快速增长的公司,但它们并没有成为独角兽。无利可图的组织和僵尸公司实现了很大一部分需求,阻碍了快速增长的公司的持续扩张。在一些工业中,由于现有能力利用率低,投资新技术的风险增加。这些情况限制了通过降低实际利率来刺激投资的可能性。这种措施可以增加专注于技术创新的企业获得贷款的机会。但与此同时,它也会延长僵尸企业的存在,从而制约创新型企业的发展。在具有强大规模经济的行业中,对创造新能力实行有时限的许可是可取的。这将有助于在俄罗斯经济技术转型中形成领先的公司。中国央行限制向僵尸企业发放常青树贷款的措施,可以帮助快速增长的企业转型为独角兽企业。
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