July Crisis: The World’s Descent into War, Summer 1914 by T. G. Otte (review)

R. Gramer
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Abstract

The thought of war in Europe in early 1914 was farfetched. The decades that preceded it were defined by vast growth in material and commercial wealth across the continent, unprecedented economic interconnectivity, and relative calm among the Great Powers that dictated the trajectory of Europe’s future. “Such moments of worry flew away like cobwebs in the wind,” the famous Austrian novelist Stefan Zweig reflected years later. “Although, every now and then, we thought of war, it was no different than contemplating death — as something that was possible but presumably far away.” In the past century, plenty of ink has been spilled over the causes of World War I, with a host of new literature written in the past year on the centenary of the Great War’s outbreak. To carve out new intellectual space in such overtrodden ground is immeasurably difficult. Yet T. G. Otte, in his new book July Crisis: The World’s Descent into War, Summer 1914, combines fastidious research and hundreds of primary sources to offer a fresh take on the beginning of the war, with the detail and meticulousness of a forensic scientist performing an autopsy. Otte unveils the inner workings of the byzantine bureaucracies that dominated European foreign policy in the early twentieth century. Rather than focusing on one or two countries, Otte maps out the interplay of all major powers with one another — a Herculean task that few scholars have yet achieved with such clarity and insight. He delves into the minds of not only the leaders of Europe but also the diplomats in the trenches of European diplomacy on the eve of the war that broke the European continent. In this way, it makes a perfect companion to Barbara Tuchman’s 1962 masterpiece, The Guns
《七月危机:世界陷入战争》,1914年夏,t·g·奥特著(书评)
1914年初欧洲发生战争的想法是牵强的。在此之前的几十年里,整个欧洲大陆物质和商业财富的巨大增长,前所未有的经济互联互通,以及列强之间的相对平静,决定了欧洲未来的发展轨迹。多年后,奥地利著名小说家斯蒂芬·茨威格(Stefan Zweig)回忆道:“这种焦虑的时刻就像风中的蜘蛛网一样飞走了。”“尽管我们时不时地会想到战争,但这和考虑死亡并没有什么不同——作为一种可能发生的事情,但可能很遥远。”在过去的一个世纪里,人们对第一次世界大战的起因进行了大量的研究,在过去的一年里,在第一次世界大战爆发一百周年之际,有大量的新文学作品问世。在这样一片被践踏的土地上开拓新的知识空间是无比困难的。然而,t·g·奥特(T. G. Otte)在他的新书《七月危机:1914年夏天,世界陷入战争》(July Crisis: The World’s Descent into War)中,结合了严谨的研究和数百个主要资料,以法医科学家进行尸检的细节和一丝不苟的方式,为战争的开始提供了一个全新的视角。奥特揭示了在20世纪初主导欧洲外交政策的拜占庭式官僚机构的内部运作。奥特没有把重点放在一两个国家,而是描绘出所有大国之间的相互作用——这是一项艰巨的任务,很少有学者能以如此清晰和深刻的见解完成这项任务。他不仅深入研究了欧洲领导人的思想,还深入研究了二战前夕在欧洲外交战壕中工作的外交官的思想,这场战争打破了欧洲大陆。这样一来,它就成了芭芭拉·塔奇曼1962年的杰作《枪炮》的完美伴侣
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