The evaluation of economic and social effect from the revised nuclear power plant planning in Thailand

2011 International Conference & Utility Exhibition on Power and Energy Systems: Issues and Prospects for Asia (ICUE) Pub Date : 2011-09-01 DOI:10.1109/ICUEPES.2011.6497734

V. Chutiprapat, W. Pattaraprakorn, P. Bhasaputra

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Abstract

This paper presents the evaluation of the economic and social effect from revised nuclear power plant (NPP) planning in Thailand according to the accident of NPP at Fukushima in Japan. From the latest of Thailand Power Development Plans, 5 NPPs with totally 5,000 MW will be installed in year 2020, 2021, 2024, 2025 and 2028, respectively. After the unfortunate disaster, the NPP planning is postponed to unexpected period due to the social and safety concerns. However, the NPP is still need to be reconsidering as soon as possible which depends on many factors such as the rapid growth of power demand and energy crisis. The simulation of three feasible scenarios will be presented to guide the appropriate planning of NPP in next PDP. In addition, the economic value, performance and environmental aspect will be discussed from utilities and customer point of view, especially the industrial customer. Finally, the worst case scenario of NPP in Thailand will be evaluated in term of economic loss, performance crisis, loss of power supply and environmental aspect comparing with the electricity generation from the fossil based power plants.

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泰国核电厂规划修订后的经济及社会效益评价

本文以日本福岛核电站事故为背景，对泰国修订核电站规划所产生的经济和社会影响进行了评价。根据最新的泰国电力发展计划，将分别在2020年、2021年、2024年、2025年和2028年安装5个总容量为5000兆瓦的核电站。不幸的灾难发生后，由于对社会和安全的担忧，核电站的规划被推迟到意想不到的时期。然而，由于电力需求的快速增长和能源危机等诸多因素的影响，核电站仍需要尽快重新考虑。本文将对三种可行情景进行模拟，以指导下一阶段PDP中核电厂的合理规划。此外，经济价值，性能和环境方面将从公用事业和客户的角度进行讨论，特别是工业客户。最后，从经济损失、性能危机、电力供应损失和环境方面与化石燃料发电厂发电进行比较，评估泰国核电厂最坏的情况。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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2011 International Conference & Utility Exhibition on Power and Energy Systems: Issues and Prospects for Asia (ICUE)

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