Determinants of Stock Market Price in Nepalese Commercial Banks

Shanker Dhodary
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze determinants of stock price of Nepalese commercial banks. The study is conducted by using quantitative method followed by descriptive research to make brief and accurate study on selected variables and pooled cross-sectional data that are collected from NEPSE listed banks at one point in time. The data are collected covering the period from the F/Y 2011/12 to 2020/21. Ten commercial banks are selected as representative of target population of 26 commercial banks. The research variables are book value per share, PE ratio, firm size, dividend payment, return on equity and market price per share. Under the statistical analysis, descriptive statistics, correlation and multiple regression analysis are conducted. Descriptive statistics shows the book value per share and firm size of Nepalese commercial banks have been found steadily growing whereas the profitability, dividend and stock performance in market are quite volatile. The P/E ratio is found to be nil in some of the year due to no earnings per share of particular bank. Share price of Nepalese commercial banks is positively correlated to BVPS, PE, ROE and DIV whereas negative relationship withfirm size (FS). Among the independent variables, all variable except firm size (FS) are statistically significant. Regression results reveals that BVPS, PE, ROE and DIV have positive and significant impact on MPS whereas firm size (FS) has significant and negative impact on MPS.
尼泊尔商业银行股票市场价格的决定因素
本研究旨在分析尼泊尔商业银行股价的决定因素。本研究采用定量研究为主、描述性研究为主的研究方法,对某一时间点的NEPSE上市银行所选取的变量和汇总的截面数据进行简要准确的研究。数据收集于2011/12至2020/21财年。选取10家商业银行作为26家商业银行目标人群的代表。研究变量为每股账面价值、市盈率、公司规模、股息支付、股本回报率和每股市场价格。在统计分析的基础上,进行了描述性统计、相关分析和多元回归分析。描述性统计显示,尼泊尔商业银行的每股账面价值和公司规模稳步增长,而市场上的盈利能力、股息和股票表现却相当不稳定。由于某家银行没有每股收益,本益比在某些年份被发现为零。尼泊尔商业银行股价与BVPS、PE、ROE和DIV呈正相关,与公司规模(FS)呈负相关。自变量中,除企业规模(FS)外,其余变量均具有统计学显著性。回归结果显示,BVPS、PE、ROE和DIV对MPS具有显著的正向影响,而公司规模(FS)对MPS具有显著的负向影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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