Interval Grey Fuzzy Uncertain Linguistic Sets and Their Application to Ranking of Construction Project Risk Factors

Guang-feng Liu, Zhi Zhou, M. Xu
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

To express information on construction project risks comprehensively and precisely and to improve the accuracy of the results of the ranking of construction project risk factors, we use the interval grey degree to express grey characteristics of information. The membership degree is used to express fuzzy characteristics of information. An uncertain linguistic variable is used to express linguistic descriptive characteristics of information. A ranking model for construction project risk factorsis proposed to identify the main risk factors on the basis of the interval grey fuzzy uncertain linguistic set and the continuous interval argument ordered weighted averaging (C-OWA) operator. We take the Weft Three-Road Cross-River Tunnel in Nanjing as a case to verify the feasibility of the proposed model.. Research results show that compared with fuzzy sets that can only use membership degree to express fuzziness, the interval grey fuzzy uncertain linguistic set can express the grey, fuzzy, and linguistic descriptive characteristics of practical construction project risk information simultaneously. The proposed model based on the theory helps to improve the comprehensiveness and authenticity of risk information expression, as well as the accuracy of risk factor rankings. The results of this work could assist project managers in determining main risk factors and thereby provide a theoretical basis for taking pre-control measures.
区间灰色模糊不确定语言集及其在建设项目风险因素排序中的应用
为了全面、准确地表达建设项目风险信息,提高建设项目风险因素排序结果的准确性,采用区间灰色度来表达信息的灰色特征。用隶属度来表示信息的模糊特征。用不确定语言变量来表达信息的语言描述性特征。提出了一种基于区间灰色模糊不确定语言集和连续区间参数有序加权平均(C-OWA)算子的建设项目风险因素排序模型,以识别主要风险因素。以南京市西三路渡江隧道为例,验证了该模型的可行性。研究结果表明,与只能用隶属度来表达模糊性的模糊集相比,区间灰色模糊不确定语言集能够同时表达实际建设项目风险信息的灰色、模糊和语言描述性特征。基于该理论提出的模型有助于提高风险信息表达的全面性和真实性,以及风险因素排序的准确性。这项工作的结果可以帮助项目经理确定主要风险因素,从而为采取预先控制措施提供理论依据。
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