Personalized Effect of Health Behavior on Blood Pressure: Machine Learning Based Prediction and Recommendation

Abstract

Blood pressure (BP) is one of the most important indicator of human health. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between BP and health behavior (e.g. sleep and exercise). Using the data collected from off-the-shelf wearable devices and wireless home BP monitors, we propose a data driven personalized model to predict daily BP level and provide actionable insight into health behavior and daily BP. In the proposed machine learning model using Random Forest (RF), trend and periodicity features of BP time-series are extracted to improve prediction. To further enhance the performance of the prediction model, we propose RF with Feature Selection (RFFS), which performs RF-based feature selection to filter out unnecessary features. Our experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach is robust to different individuals and has smaller prediction error than existing methods. We also validate the effectiveness of personalized recommendation of health behavior generated by RFFS model.