Supply and Demand Planning of Electricity Power: A Comprehensive Solution

S. Perera, S.J. Dissanayake, Dinithi Fernando, Sehan De Silva, W. Rankothge
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Electrical energy is one of the fastest growing energy demands in the world. Uncertainty in supplying the demand can threaten the social economic aspects of a country. The biggest driver of electrical demand is weather. Climatic changes not only affect the demand but also renewable energy supply. Wind and Solar are two alternative energy sources with less pollution. We have proposed a platform which helps energy providers, energy traders with services related to electricity supply and demand planning, with following modules. (1) Forecasting electricity consumption patterns (2) Forecasting wind power generation (3) Optimizing Load Shedding. Our platform has been implemented using statistical and machine learning techniques: Multi-Linear Regression for consumption prediction, Random forest regression for wind power forecast, and genetic algorithm to optimize load shedding. Our results show that, using our proposed module, we can minimize the imbalance between the supply and demand of electricity by predicting the consumption patterns of consumers, predicting the wind power generation and by selecting the best feeder to be selected for load shedding under given constraints.
电力供需规划:一个综合解决方案
电能是世界上增长最快的能源需求之一。供应需求的不确定性会威胁到一个国家的社会经济方面。电力需求的最大驱动因素是天气。气候变化不仅影响需求,也影响可再生能源的供应。风能和太阳能是两种污染较少的替代能源。我们提出了一个平台,可以帮助能源供应商、能源交易商提供与电力供需规划相关的服务,包括以下模块。(1)预测用电量模式(2)预测风力发电(3)优化减载。我们的平台使用统计和机器学习技术来实现:用于消费预测的多元线性回归,用于风电预测的随机森林回归,以及用于优化减载的遗传算法。研究结果表明,在给定约束条件下,通过预测用户消费模式、预测风力发电以及选择最佳馈线进行减载,可以最大限度地减少电力供需不平衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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