Remittances and the Dutch Disease in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic Panel Approach

E. Owusu-Sekyere, Renee Koekemoer Van Eyden, Francis M. Kemegue
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of remittance inflows on the real exchange rate in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) using annual data from 1980 to 2008 for 34 SSA countries, generalised method of moments by Arellano and Bover (1995) and feasible generalised least squares by Parks (1967) and Kmenta (1971, 1986). We find that when cross-sectional dependence and individual effects are controlled for, remittances to SSA as a whole appreciate the underlying real exchange rate of recipient countries. However the Dutch-disease effect is not experienced via the loss of export competitiveness, because the exchange rate appreciation is mitigated by monetary policy positioning and overdependence on imports due to low levels of domestic production in these countries. We also find reverse causality between remittances and the real exchange rate. (This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)
撒哈拉以南非洲的汇款与荷兰病:动态小组方法
本文利用1980年至2008年34个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的年度数据、Arellano和Bover(1995)的广义矩量法以及Parks(1967)和Kmenta(1971、1986)的可行广义最小二乘,研究了汇款流入对撒哈拉以南非洲实际汇率的影响。我们发现,当横截面依赖和个人影响得到控制时,向SSA的汇款作为一个整体会使受援国的潜在实际汇率升值。然而,荷兰病的影响并不是通过出口竞争力的丧失而经历的,因为这些国家的货币政策定位和由于国内生产水平低而过度依赖进口,减轻了汇率升值。我们还发现汇款与实际汇率之间存在反向因果关系。(这个摘要是从这个项目的另一个版本借来的。)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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