Investigation Of The Impact Of Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, Economic Growth, And Circulation Of Electronic Money On Inflation In Malaysia

Askar Askar, Amaury Capdeville Chapuzet
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Abstract

This project intends to research the effects of the USD vs Malaysian Ringgit exchange rate, Malaysia's central bank interest rate, The growth of the economic in malaysia, the circulation for electronic money in Malaysia on inflation in Malaysia. Bank Negara Malaysia is a secondary data source for this investigation, global financial institution (IMF), also the World Bank with a monthly research period from January 2012 to January 2020. We use Model for Error Correction (ECM) model for the investigate some influence relationship at the long and short run.We found that a stronger USD further depresses the Malaysian ringgit and has an impact on increasing Malaysia’s inflation on the long and short run. When the Malaysian central bank interest rate are higher, the more it will push Malaysia’s inflation. And the higher economic growth in Malaysia, the more accelerating inflation at Malaysia, at long and the short run. However, some circulation of electronic money in Malaysia only has a short-term impact on inflation and in the long term the impact is not significant.
汇率、利率、经济增长和电子货币流通对马来西亚通货膨胀影响的调查
本项目旨在研究美元对马来西亚林吉特汇率、马来西亚央行利率、马来西亚经济增长、马来西亚电子货币流通对马来西亚通货膨胀的影响。马来西亚国家银行是本次调查的次要数据来源,全球金融机构(IMF)也是世界银行,每月研究期为2012年1月至2020年1月。我们使用误差修正模型(ECM)来研究长期和短期的影响关系。我们发现,美元走强进一步压低了马来西亚林吉特,并在长期和短期内对增加马来西亚的通货膨胀产生了影响。马来西亚央行的利率越高,就越会推高马来西亚的通胀。马来西亚的经济增长越快,马来西亚的通货膨胀就越快,无论是长期还是短期都是如此。然而,马来西亚一些电子货币的流通对通货膨胀只有短期影响,长期影响并不显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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