Closing the Small Open Economy Model: A Demographic Approach

David Oxborrow, S. Turnovsky
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引用次数: 12

Abstract

Closing the small open economy model has been a stumbling block in studying the dynamic evolution of such models. The typical procedure of equating the after‐tax return on traded bonds to the rate of time preference involves imposing an arbitrary and constraining knife‐edge condition. This paper replaces the infinitely lived representative agent framework with a plausible demographic structure. This yields a well‐behaved macrodynamic equilibrium without imposing any knife‐edge conditions. The equilibrium dynamics generated by the Rectangular survival function, characteristic of the Samuelson–Diamond model, closely track those corresponding to an empirically estimated survival function. However, the Blanchard survival function tracks the data poorly in terms of absolute levels, while the closeness of its relative dynamics (following a structural change) depends on the source of the structural change.
关闭小型开放经济模式:一种人口统计学方法
封闭小型开放经济模式一直是研究小型开放经济模式动态演化的绊脚石。将交易债券的税后回报率等同于时间偏好率的典型过程涉及施加任意和限制性的刀口条件。本文用一个似是而非的人口结构取代了无限活的代表性主体框架。这产生了一个行为良好的宏观动力平衡,而不施加任何刀口条件。萨缪尔森-戴蒙德(Samuelson-Diamond)模型所特有的矩形生存函数所产生的均衡动态,与经验估计的生存函数所对应的均衡动态密切相关。然而,布兰查德生存函数在绝对水平方面对数据的跟踪很差,而其相对动态的密切程度(在结构变化之后)取决于结构变化的来源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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