Profit Warnings and Stock Returns: Evidence From Moroccan Stock Exchange

Ilyas EL GHORDAF, Abdelbari El Khamlichi
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Abstract

There is an important literature focused on profit warnings and its impact on stock returns. We provide evidence from Moroccan stock market which aims to become an African financial hub. Despite this practical improvement, academic researches that focused on this market are scarce and our study is a first investigation in this context. Using the event study methodology and a sample of companies listed in Casablanca Stock Exchange, we examined whether the effect of qualitative warning is more negative compared to quantitative warnings in a short event window. Our empirical findings show that the average abnormal return on the date of announcement is negative and statistically significant. The magnitude of this negative abnormal return is greater for qualitative warnings than quantitative ones.
利润预警和股票回报:来自摩洛哥证券交易所的证据
有一个重要的文献集中在盈利预警及其对股票收益的影响。我们从摩洛哥股票市场提供证据,其目标是成为非洲金融中心。尽管有了这一实际改进,但专注于这一市场的学术研究很少,我们的研究是在这一背景下的首次调查。采用事件研究方法,并以卡萨布兰卡证券交易所上市公司为样本,研究了在短事件窗口内定性预警的效果是否比定量预警更消极。实证结果表明,上市公司公告日的平均异常收益为负,且具有统计学意义。对于定性预警,这种负异常回报的幅度大于定量预警。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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