Study on Combined Forecasting of Stabilized Platform Motion Attitude

Jianshan Lu, Changming Wang, Aijun Zhang, Weiwei Hu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Aiming at the time delay existing in measuring process of stabilized platform motion attitude, a novel combined forecasting method based on hierarchical structure theory is proposed. AR(p) model and metabolism GM(1, 1) model are employed as single models, and hierarchical structure based weight determining method is used to ascertain the weights of each single model. To improve the forecasting precision, residual errors are compensated with GM(1, 1) model. At the end of the paper, simulation analysis with observed data from stabilized platform experiment is carried out, and the simulation results show that the method is effective.
稳定平台运动姿态组合预测研究
针对稳定平台运动姿态测量过程中存在的时滞问题,提出了一种基于层次结构理论的组合预测方法。采用AR(p)模型和代谢GM(1,1)模型作为单模型,采用基于层次结构的权重确定方法确定各单模型的权重。为了提高预测精度,残差用GM(1,1)模型进行补偿。最后,利用稳定平台实验观测数据进行了仿真分析,仿真结果表明了该方法的有效性。
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