New Trade Protectionism Response to COVID-19: An Investigation on Firm Export Performance in an Emerging Country

N. Hoang, Tu Phan Thanh, Hee-Cheol Moon, B. Do
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Abstract

Purpose - Given the significance of concerns raised about the global shift toward protectionism under trade policy uncertainty context, and echoed by requests to contribute to issues that concern a wider variety of stakeholders, this study aims to review new trade protection measures in response to the pandemic crisis and their effects on export performance from an emerging country’s exporters. Design/Methodology/Approach - Research data were gathered by surveying 613 export managers of different types of exporters in Vietnam from a list of exporters provided by Ministry of Industry and Trade, and then applied a regression model for analysis. Findings - The study demonstrated a negative relationship between firm export performance and six trade protectionism measures, including industrial subsidies, public-procurement restrictions, FDI restrictions, standards protectionism, green protectionism, and regional integration. Only restrictions on migrant workers had no appreciable impact on firm export performance. Additionally, only employee number, out of the three control factors, significantly and positively affected how well firms succeed in exporting. Research Implications - The study’s findings have significant ramifications and contributions to theory and practice in international trade for an emerging country to overcome new trade protectionism measures. To support firms in expanding export markets, the government of an emerging country should concentrate on establishing and developing policies to support exporters, especially small and medium enterprises. Firms should pursue a sustainable export strategy in light of the emergence of new trade protectionism in significant import markets.
新贸易保护主义应对COVID-19:对一个新兴国家企业出口绩效的调查
目的——鉴于在贸易政策不确定的背景下,人们对全球转向保护主义的担忧具有重要意义,同时也要求对涉及更广泛利益攸关方的问题作出贡献,本研究旨在审查为应对大流行危机而采取的新贸易保护措施及其对新兴国家出口商出口业绩的影响。设计/方法/方法-研究数据是通过对越南工业和贸易部提供的出口商名单中613名不同类型出口商的出口经理进行调查收集的,然后应用回归模型进行分析。研究结果表明,企业出口绩效与六项贸易保护主义措施之间存在负相关关系,包括工业补贴、公共采购限制、外国直接投资限制、标准保护主义、绿色保护主义和区域一体化。只有对移徙工人的限制对企业出口业绩没有明显影响。此外,在三个控制因素中,只有员工数量显著且积极地影响了企业出口成功的程度。研究意义-本研究的发现对新兴国家克服新的贸易保护主义措施的国际贸易理论和实践具有重要的影响和贡献。为了支持企业扩大出口市场,新兴国家的政府应集中精力制定和发展支持出口商,特别是中小型企业的政策。鉴于重要进口市场出现了新的贸易保护主义,各公司应采取可持续的出口战略。
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