Catastrophe Modeling in the Classroom

Patricia L. Born, William Martin
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

Catastrophes are by definition rare, which makes it difficult to project future losses using historical loss information. Catastrophe modelers have developed alternative methodologies based on sophisticated techniques that combine physics, meteorology, engineering, statistics, actuarial sciences, and other disciplines to provide estimates of the likelihood of losses from extreme events. This article discusses the basics of catastrophe modeling and describes an approach to implementing a lesson on catastrophe modeling in the insurance curriculum.
课堂上的巨灾模型
灾难从定义上讲是罕见的,这使得利用历史损失信息预测未来损失变得困难。灾难建模者已经开发出基于复杂技术的替代方法,这些技术结合了物理学、气象学、工程学、统计学、精算科学和其他学科,以提供极端事件损失可能性的估计。本文讨论了巨灾建模的基础知识,并介绍了在保险课程中实施巨灾建模课程的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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