Capacity configuration of distributed generation in microgrid considering the correlation among wind velocity, light intensity and load

Tao Yan, Wei Tang, Sheng Xu, Yongxiang Cai, Hongtao Feng, Yuting Wang, Yue Wang
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Abstract

The correlation among wind velocity, light intensity and load is not considered in generation capacity configuration in microgrid. This paper proposes a combined sampling method which can consider the correlation based on Copula theory. It analyzes the law of data, then chooses the best Copula function of every segment to sample and combines all sampling result together. A mathematical model of capacity configuration of distributed generation in microgrid is established. The model takes the minimum annual economic expenditure as the objective function, and power shortage rate and installation capacity of DG as constraints. With sampling data as input, the model can be solved by particle swarm optimization. Simulation result shows that the configuration result using combined sampling method is similar with the result using real data. In addition, the impact of different correlation on configuration result is analyzed.
考虑风速、光强和负荷相关性的微电网分布式发电容量配置
在微网发电容量配置中,没有考虑风速、光强和负荷之间的相关性。基于Copula理论,提出了一种考虑相关性的组合采样方法。通过分析数据的规律,选取每一段的最佳Copula函数进行采样,并将所有的采样结果组合在一起。建立了微电网分布式发电容量配置的数学模型。该模型以年经济支出最小为目标函数,以缺电率和DG装机容量为约束条件。该模型以采样数据为输入,采用粒子群算法求解。仿真结果表明,采用组合采样方法得到的配置结果与使用实际数据得到的配置结果相似。此外,还分析了不同关联度对构型结果的影响。
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