The Eye of the Beholder. Reconsidering the Notions of Pro‐Poor Growth and Progressivity, with an Application to Vietnam

G. Erreygers, T. Bui
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Abstract

Both policymakers and economists have tried to find criteria to assess whether economic growth is pro‐poor. In this paper we reconsider the inequality‐oriented approach originally proposed by Jenkins and Van Kerm. They look at the changes in the whole income distribution, and decompose the change in income inequality, measured by the Gini coefficient, into a progressivity and a reranking component. They define a pro‐poor (or progressive) change as one where the changes in income are more to the benefit of those who are initially poor than to the benefit of those who are initially rich. We challenge this assumption, and maintain that also the point of view of the finally poor and the finally rich should be taken into account when evaluating whether growth is pro‐poor. We suggest a new decomposition method, based on an inequality index of the generalized entropy family, which allows the change in income inequality to be decomposed exactly into a forward‐looking and a backward‐looking progressivity component. Our empirical illustration, using data from household surveys in Vietnam, shows that economic growth in Vietnam has been pro‐poor from a forward‐looking perspective, but not from a backward‐looking perspective.
旁观者之眼。重新考虑扶贫增长和累进的概念,以越南为例
政策制定者和经济学家都试图找到评估经济增长是否有利于贫困的标准。本文重新考虑了Jenkins和Van Kerm最初提出的面向不等式的方法。他们研究了整个收入分配的变化,并用基尼系数(Gini coefficient)来衡量收入不平等的变化,并将其分解为累进率(progresvity)和再排名(reranking)两个部分。他们将亲贫(或渐进式)变化定义为收入的变化更多地有利于那些最初贫穷的人,而不是那些最初富有的人。我们对这一假设提出了挑战,并坚持认为,在评估经济增长是否有利于穷人时,也应该考虑到最终穷人和最终富人的观点。我们提出了一种新的分解方法,基于广义熵族的不平等指数,它允许收入不平等的变化被精确地分解为前瞻性和向后前瞻性的累进成分。我们使用来自越南家庭调查的数据进行实证说明,表明越南的经济增长从前瞻性的角度来看是有利于穷人的,但从回顾性的角度来看并非如此。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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