Scenarios of Secondary School Management During the Digital Era in the Next Decade (2022-2031)

Abstract

Nowadays, technological advances in providing transformations in the school scenario, and one of them are the drastic change in secondary school management during the digital era. The purposes of this research were 1) to study the current situations and problems of secondary school management during the digital era; 2) to study the scenarios of secondary school management during the digital era in the next decade (2022-2031). The research specifically looked into 4 core missions of secondary school: 1) management of teaching and learning 2) personnel management 3) budgeting and 4) educational management. The research was conducted in 2 phases. Phase I: studying the current situations and the problems of secondary school management during the digital era by using a questionnaire to collect data from a sample group of 230 secondary school administrators. Phase II: studying the scenarios of secondary school management during the digital era in the next decade (2022-2031) using Ethnographic Delphi Futures Research (EDFR) for 3 parts. Part 1: Interviewing 19 experts using a semi-structured interview form and then analyzing and synthesizing the future tenders (scenarios). Part 2: Assessing the feasibility and the appropriateness of the scenarios by using a 5-level scale questionnaire. The statistics used were median and interquartile range. Part 3: Confirm trend scenarios of secondary school management during the digital era in the next decade (2022-2031). The findings revealed that the current situations of practice are all at a high level and the problems of the management are all at a moderate level. The scenarios of secondary school management during the digital era in the next decade (2022-2031) consist of 4 key elements and 40 possible trends, namely: 1) management of teaching and learning in the digital era with 15 possible trends. 2) educational personnel in the digital era with 10 possible trends. 3) budget in the digital era with 6 possible trends and 4) educational management in the digital era with 9 possible trends.