Introduction: the importance of aggregate demand for full employment and rising living standards

B. Maclean, H. Bougrine, Louis-Philippe Rochon
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Abstract

With an emphasis on developments during and after the Great Recession, and paying due attention to the impacts of austerity policies, the chapters assembled here explain that maintenance of suitably high growth of aggregate demand is as essential as ever to achieving full employment and rising living standards. Written by distinguished Keynesian and Post-Keynesian economists from diverse national backgrounds, the chapters tackle theoretical and empirical issues in an effort to illuminate the economic experiences of both large areas of the world and specific economies. The volume is organized into three parts, the first of which deals with ‘Theoretical Considerations’. The opening chapter by J.W. Mason, on ‘Macroeconomic lessons from the past decade’, emphasizes the continued relevance of the principle of aggregate demand, first stated in its modern form by J. Maynard Keynes. Mason views aggregate demand deficiency as evidence of a coordination problem, which he identifies as the central economic problem in demand-constrained economies. He draws three lessons for macroeconomic theory and policy of the U.S. experience since 2008. The first is that we should recognize that short-run fluctuations of output and employment are dominated by fluctuations in aggregate demand, not by demographics, technological change or other supply-side phenomena. Second, we should be wary of drawing a sharp distinction between a short run in which growth is demand-determined and a long run in which it is fundamentals-determined. The U.S. experience analysed by Mason suggests that weak growth in employment, productivity and output due to an aggregate demand gap can persist beyond any reasonable definition of the ‘short run’. Third, we should realize that the once-orthodox stabilization policy narrowly focused on the central bank manipulating its key policy rate has become untenable. The policy rate is not only a much weaker tool for stabilizing aggregate demand than was widely believed before 2008,
引言:总需求对充分就业和提高生活水平的重要性
本书重点介绍了大衰退期间和之后的发展,并对紧缩政策的影响给予了应有的关注,本书的章节解释说,保持适当的总需求高增长对于实现充分就业和提高生活水平至关重要。由来自不同国家背景的杰出凯恩斯主义和后凯恩斯主义经济学家撰写,章节解决理论和实证问题,努力阐明世界大片地区和特定经济体的经济经验。本书分为三个部分,第一部分涉及“理论考虑”。J.W.梅森(J.W. Mason)的第一章“过去十年的宏观经济教训”强调了总需求原则的持续相关性,该原则最初是由梅纳德·凯恩斯(J. Maynard Keynes)以现代形式提出的。梅森将总需求不足视为协调问题的证据,他认为这是需求受限经济体的核心经济问题。他从2008年以来的美国宏观经济理论和政策经验中总结出三条教训。首先,我们应该认识到,产出和就业的短期波动是由总需求波动主导的,而不是由人口结构、技术变革或其他供给侧现象主导的。其次,我们应该警惕,不要在由需求决定的短期增长和由基本面决定的长期增长之间划清界限。梅森分析的美国经验表明,由于总需求缺口导致的就业、生产率和产出增长疲软,可能会持续超过任何合理的“短期”定义。第三,我们应该认识到,一度只关注央行操纵关键政策利率的正统稳定政策已经站不住脚了。政策利率在稳定总需求方面的作用,不仅比2008年前人们普遍认为的弱得多,
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