COLLECTIVE INVESTMENT SCHEMES’ RETURNS AND ONE YEAR COVID-19 EXPERIENCE: THE NIGERIA’S CASE

G. F. Babarınde, B. A. Daneji
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Abstract

This study examines the impact and nexus between cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the returns of seven classes of collective investment schemes (CIS) in Nigeria (bond funds, equity-based funds, fixed income funds, ethical funds, money market funds, mixed funds and real estate funds) within the first 52 weeks of the outbreak of the pandemic in Nigeria, 27th February, 2020 to 26th February, 2021 using Auto-regressive Distributed Lag and Pearson correlation techniques. Empirical findings suggest that COVID-19 cases and returns of collective investment schemes in Nigeria are cointegrated while COVID-19 cases are negatively correlated with the returns from bonds funds, equity based funds and money market funds as against the positive correlation between COVID-19 cases and returns from ethical, fixed income and real estate funds. Furthermore, COVID-19 confirmed cases are negatively related with returns from mixed fund as against the fund’s returns’ positive correlation with COVID-19 fatal and discharged cases. Moreover, except for COVID-19 discharged cases which has significant positive impact on fixed income funds’ returns, none of the other indicators of COVID-19 exerts significant influence on the returns of each of the seven CIS in Nigeria. It can be concluded that COVID-19 cases do not have significant impact on collective investment schemes’ returns in Nigeria. It is recommended that collective investment schemes in Nigeria should be accorded the popularization, incentives, boost, empowerment it deserves by the government and the organized private sector. KEYWORDS: ARDL; COVID-19; Collective Investment Schemes; Returns; Mutual funds. JEL CLASSIFICATION: E44, G11, G14
集体投资计划的回报和一年的COVID-19经验:尼日利亚的案例
本研究使用自回归分布滞后和Pearson相关技术,研究了2020年2月27日至2021年2月26日尼日利亚大流行爆发的前52周内,冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例与尼日利亚七种集体投资计划(债券基金、股票基金、固定收益基金、道德基金、货币市场基金、混合基金和房地产基金)的回报之间的影响和联系。实证结果表明,COVID-19病例与尼日利亚集体投资计划的回报是协整的,COVID-19病例与债券基金、股票基金和货币市场基金的回报呈负相关,而COVID-19病例与道德基金、固定收益基金和房地产基金的回报呈正相关。此外,新冠肺炎确诊病例与混合基金收益呈负相关,而基金收益与新冠肺炎死亡病例和出院病例呈正相关。此外,除了COVID-19出院病例对固定收益基金收益产生显著正影响外,其他指标均未对尼日利亚7个CIS的收益产生显著影响。可以得出结论,COVID-19病例对尼日利亚集体投资计划的回报没有重大影响。建议尼日利亚的集体投资计划应得到政府和有组织的私营部门应有的普及、激励、推动和授权。关键词:ARDL;COVID-19;集体投资计划;返回;共同基金。凝胶分类:e44, g11, g14
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