The Effect Of The Pandemic On Consumer Loans And Credit Card Use: The Case Of Turkey (2017-2021) And An Evaluation From Institutional Economics Perspective

İbrahim ARSLAN, T. Metin
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Abstract

The consumer loan application, which enables the individual to obtain the goods or services they want to buy by borrowing from the bank, has been used since 1928 in the world and 1988 in Turkey, and credit cards have been actively used by consumers since the 1950s. Both consumer loans and credit cards provide economic mobility to individuals who cannot meet their cash needs by their own means. In this study, the effect of the pandemic announced in March 2020 on consumer loans and credit card amounts in Turkey was examined. The study is based on the hypotheses that the pandemic has statistically significantly increased consumer loan and credit card amounts. The hypotheses of the study were confirmed as a result of the analyzes carried out by the SPSS 26.0 package program Independent T-Test, taking into account the 2017 – 2021 loan and credit card amounts of the BRSA. Post-pandemic consumer loan amounts and credit card amounts showed statistically significant differences compared to pre-pandemic. The analyzes were tried to be evaluated from the point of view of Institutional Economics. It has been commented that if the increased credit and credit card amounts during the pandemic period cannot be paid by the consumers on the due dates, the banking sector may experience a credit contraction, while individual borrowing that does not create added value will adversely affect the economic indicators in the long run and there may be a cyclical fluctuation.
疫情对消费贷款和信用卡使用的影响:以土耳其为例(2017-2021年)及制度经济学视角的评估
消费者贷款申请使个人能够通过向银行借款来获得他们想要购买的商品或服务,自1928年和1988年以来在世界上和土耳其一直在使用,自20世纪50年代以来,信用卡一直被消费者积极使用。消费贷款和信用卡都为那些无法通过自己的手段满足现金需求的个人提供了经济流动性。在这项研究中,研究了2020年3月宣布的大流行对土耳其消费贷款和信用卡金额的影响。该研究基于这样的假设,即大流行在统计上显著增加了消费者贷款和信用卡金额。本研究的假设是通过SPSS 26.0软件包程序独立t检验进行分析的结果,考虑到BRSA的2017 - 2021年贷款和信用卡金额。与疫情前相比,疫情后的消费者贷款额和信用卡金额出现了统计学上的显著差异。本文试图从制度经济学的角度对这些分析进行评价。有人评论说,如果消费者在大流行期间增加的信用卡和信用卡金额不能在到期日支付,银行部门可能会出现信贷收缩,而不创造附加价值的个人借款从长远来看将对经济指标产生不利影响,并可能出现周期性波动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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