Assessment on the Decoupling Between Industrial Development and Energy Consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

Dan Wu, Siqi Cao
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Abstract

Based on the decoupling indicators of economic driving force, pressure of energy consumption and energy consumption efficiency, this paper constructs a system for evaluating the decoupling between industrial development and energy consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, and analyzes the decoupling situation of industrial development and energy consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 1997 to 2016 by using elastic analysis method. Results show that: due to the superimposed effect of three regions, there is a change trend of “expansive negative decoupling – strong decoupling – weak decoupling” between the development of the primary industry and its energy consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region; there is a change trend of “weak decoupling – expansive negative decoupling – weak decoupling – strong decoupling” between the development of the secondary industry and its energy consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region; there is a change trend of “increasing connecting – weak decoupling” between the development of the tertiary industry and its energy consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Keywords—Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei; industry; energy; decoupling; evaluation; model
京津冀地区工业发展与能源消费脱钩评价
基于经济驱动力、能源消费压力和能源消费效率的脱钩指标,构建了京津冀地区工业发展与能源消费脱钩的评价体系,运用弹性分析法分析了1997 - 2016年京津冀地区工业发展与能源消费的脱钩情况。结果表明:由于三区域的叠加效应,京津冀地区第一产业发展与能源消费呈现“扩张性负脱钩-强脱钩-弱脱钩”的变化趋势;京津冀地区第二产业发展与能耗呈现“弱脱钩-扩张性负脱钩-弱脱钩-强脱钩”的变化趋势;京津冀地区第三产业发展与能源消费呈现“强联结-弱脱钩”的变化趋势。Keywords-Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei;产业;能源;解耦;评估;模型
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