Research on short-term power load forecasting based on Elman neural network with Genetic Algorithm

Yijie Sun, Huiwen Xia
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Abstract

The electric power industry is closely related to the development of national economy. With the development of economy, the social electricity situation is increasingly complicated, which brings great test to the prediction of electric load system. Accurate short-term power load forecasting plays an important role in production scheduling and safe and stable operation of power system. In this paper, Elman neural network based on genetic algorithm is established and a short-term power load forecasting model is established. The actual history data of municipal power grid are simulated, the experimental results show that compared with the BP neural network and Elman neural network commonly, Elman neural network based on genetic algorithm to solve the problem of random initial weights of the Elman neural network, can effectively enhance the power load forecasting accuracy and meet the needs of the actual production and work.
基于遗传算法的Elman神经网络短期电力负荷预测研究
电力工业与国民经济的发展密切相关。随着经济的发展,社会用电形势日益复杂,给电力负荷系统的预测带来了很大的考验。准确的短期电力负荷预测对生产调度和电力系统安全稳定运行具有重要作用。本文建立了基于遗传算法的Elman神经网络,建立了短期电力负荷预测模型。对市政电网的实际历史数据进行了仿真,实验结果表明,与常用的BP神经网络和Elman神经网络相比,Elman神经网络基于遗传算法解决了Elman神经网络初始权值随机的问题,能够有效提高电力负荷预测的精度,满足实际生产和工作的需要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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