Adaptation and application of soybean phenology model in the north China spring soybean producing area

C. Wang, Xiao Yan, BaoGui Zhang
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Abstract

Accurate prediction of the development is essential for managing production practices such as determination of optimal planting date, choice of appropriate cultivar for a specific site. The phenology model SOYDEV, considering the responses of development to temperature and photoperiod, was adapted in the north China spring soybean producing area. A 2-year cultivar × location field experiment and a 2-year sowing dates experiment were conducted in this area. Using the model, we simulated cultivars designated as early, early-medium, medium and late maturity classes in the north China spring soybean area, which corresponded to maturity groups (MG) MG II, MG III and MG IV and MG V respectively. By holding other parameters constant, a single parameter, the maximum developmental rate at optimum temperature and photoperiod (Rmax), was optimized on maturity group level and the resulting values gave acceptable predictions of phenological stages of R0, R1 and R7 with root mean square errors (RMSE) within 7 days. Cultivar specific optimization of Rmax and photoperiod response parameters improved further the prediction of R0, R1, R3.5, R5 and R7 with RMSE being less than 2 days. It is concluded that the simplified approach for parameter optimization can improve the simulation accuracy for a better prediction of soybean development and be helpful for phenology prediction in the north China spring soybean producing area.
大豆物候模型在华北春大豆产区的适应与应用
准确的发展预测对于管理生产实践至关重要,例如确定最佳种植日期,为特定地点选择合适的品种。以华北春大豆产区为研究对象,建立了考虑发育对温度和光周期响应的物候模型SOYDEV。在该地区进行了2年品种×位置田间试验和2年播期试验。利用该模型对华北春豆区早熟、早中熟、中熟和晚熟品种进行了模拟,分别对应成熟度组(MG) MG II、MG III、MG IV和MG V。在保持其他参数不变的情况下,对R0、R1和R7在最适温度和最适光周期下的最大发育速率(Rmax)这一单一参数在成熟组水平上进行了优化,所得值在7 d内具有较好的均方根误差(RMSE)。Rmax和光周期响应参数的品种特异性优化进一步提高了R0、R1、R3.5、R5和R7的预测精度,RMSE均小于2 d。结果表明,简化的参数优化方法可以提高模拟精度,更好地预测大豆生长发育,有助于华北春大豆产区物候预测。
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