Analyzing The Relationship Between Return and Trading Volume in Relation to Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) In Order to Detect Herding Behavior in Indonesia Emerging Stock Market

H. Malini, Annisa Dipa Sakliana
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Abstract

Investor herding behavior is a primary source of speculative bubbles since it implies that investors make identical trading decisions, which can lead to stock prices deviating from their underlying worth. The goal of this study is to detect herding behavior in the Indonesian stock market between 2016 and 2021. The relationship between return and trading volume, known as Cross Sectional Absolute Deviation, is used to assess herding behavior (CSAD). Time-series regression and quantile regression analysis will be employed as data analytic techniques in this study to investigate herding behavior under various market scenarios. Herding behavior is evident in the Indonesian stock market with low trading volume, high market return, and low market return in quantile 0,95. Herd behavior has both beneficial and harmful consequences during certain investing seasons. The best method to reduce the impact is to strengthen the investor’s trading strategy and trading platform
基于横截面绝对偏差(CSAD)分析收益与交易量的关系以检测印尼新兴股市的羊群行为
投资者羊群行为是投机泡沫的主要来源,因为它意味着投资者做出相同的交易决策,这可能导致股票价格偏离其潜在价值。本研究的目的是检测2016年至2021年印度尼西亚股票市场的羊群行为。收益与交易量之间的关系称为横截面绝对偏差,用于评估羊群行为(CSAD)。本研究将采用时间序列回归和分位数回归分析作为数据分析技术,研究不同市场情景下的羊群行为。羊群行为在印尼股票市场表现明显,交易量小,市场收益高,0、95分位数市场收益低。在某些投资季节,羊群行为既有有益的结果,也有有害的结果。减少影响的最好方法是加强投资者的交易策略和交易平台
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