Data Modeling for Renewable Resources and Smart Home using Monte Carlo Simulations

Bahman Naghibi
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Abstract

This paper introduces the use of Monte Carlo simulations (MCSs) for modeling stochastic behavior of wind speed, irradiance, temperature, load and electricity rate (ER) as well as the availability of PEV. Two methods are introduced. Probability distributions and their parameters are described in the first method which can be use in the future researches. Second method is introduced for MCS to consider the correlation between different databases and the correlation of each interval value with their prior interval value. Recommendations are provided for the first method in the future studies.
基于蒙特卡罗模拟的可再生资源和智能家居数据建模
本文介绍了用蒙特卡罗模拟(mcs)来模拟风速、辐照度、温度、负荷和电力率(ER)的随机行为以及PEV的可用性。介绍了两种方法。第一种方法描述了概率分布及其参数,为今后的研究提供了参考。引入了MCS的第二种方法,即考虑不同数据库之间的相关性以及每个区间值与它们之前的区间值的相关性。对第一种方法在今后的研究中提出了建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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