Gigatonne Carbon Dioxide Removal Can Reverse Global Heating Trend

T. Valone
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Abstract

It is a surprising realization to many that a changing temperature tightly correlates with the carbon dioxide (CO2) levels worldwide in a linear, lockstep manner with a reversible but very short temporal feedback loop of only a few decades. A mapping of the past 400,000 years of earth’s climate history by Hansen, based on the Vostok ice core sampling, offers a glimpse into this remarkably tight relationship between CO2 and global temperature levels but also the average sea level over four ice ages that are clearly delineated in his historic depiction of all three quantities. As his Table accompanying the graph is analyzed, an equation linking the three variables has now been generated, yielding a fresh view into how past decades of hundreds of gigatons of atmospheric increase will continue to affect a worldwide temperature rise, also called “global warming.” The implication that is inescapable from such an analysis is that the presently stored CO2 level, far surpassing by over 40% those present in 1950, is the real cause of the physics “heat-trapping effect” seen worldwide. (Note: US tons are 0.907 of metric tonnes and both are used in this article.) Research accomplished in this review point to the heat-trapping property of CO2 as the major contributor to increasing heat worldwide and lead to the prediction of how much higher global temperature will rise if left unchecked, with the level of CO2 over 40% higher than it has ever been in more than 400,000 years. The proposed solution offered in this review is to initiate a 40 gigatonne carbon dioxide removal (CDR) annually in order to stabilize atmospheric CO2, to be followed by an expanded CDR effort toward a goal of 100 gigatonnes/year to begin reversing and lowering global temperature.
千兆吨二氧化碳的去除可以扭转全球变暖趋势
对许多人来说,气温变化与全球二氧化碳(CO2)水平以线性、同步的方式密切相关,具有可逆但非常短的时间反馈循环,只有几十年。这是一个令人惊讶的认识。汉森在沃斯托克冰芯取样的基础上绘制了一幅过去40万年地球气候史的地图,让我们得以一窥二氧化碳与全球温度水平之间惊人的紧密关系,以及四个冰期的平均海平面,这在他对这三个数量的历史描述中得到了清晰的描绘。通过分析图表上的表格,我们得出了一个将这三个变量联系起来的方程,从而对过去几十年几千亿吨的大气增加将如何继续影响全球气温上升(也被称为“全球变暖”)产生了新的看法。从这样的分析中不可避免的暗示是,目前储存的二氧化碳水平,远远超过1950年的40%以上,是全球范围内可见的物理“热捕获效应”的真正原因。(注:美制吨等于0.907公吨,本文均使用这两种公吨。)本综述中完成的研究指出,二氧化碳的吸热特性是全球热量增加的主要原因,并预测如果不加以控制,全球气温将上升多少,二氧化碳水平将比40多万年来的任何时候都高出40%以上。本综述提出的解决方案是每年启动400亿吨二氧化碳去除(CDR)以稳定大气中的二氧化碳,随后扩大CDR努力,以实现每年1000亿吨的目标,开始扭转和降低全球温度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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