Group Daily Arrival Prediction Based on A Hybrid Model Combing Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model and Back Propagation Neural Network

Abstract

To solve the problem of predicting daily arrival number of people belonging to a specific group, this paper proposes a hybrid model which integrates linear component (from ARIMA model) with non-linear component (from BP neural network). The experimental results indicate that, hybrid methodology that has both linear and nonlinear modeling capabilities is a good strategy for practical use.