The Impact of Industrial Sector on Poverty Reduction in all Provinces of Iran

Shaban Mostafaei, Farhad khodadad-Kashi, Yeganeh Mosavi Jahromi
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Abstract

This paper examines the impact of industrial sector on poverty reduction in all provinces of Iran. For this purpose, squared poverty gap index (FGT(2)) was first measured in the urban areas of provinces; Then the value added of those industrial activities that are carried out by ten or more employees are gathered at the ISIC 2-digit code level. Finally, using Panel-VAR approach, the impacts of industrial sector on poverty in all provinces of Iran were evaluated for the period (2004-2015). The results indicate that in those provinces which have high levels of productivity in industrial workshops, poverty intensity is low. Therefore, at high level of productivity of industrial workshops, there is a significant relationship between industry and poverty. The results also show that with regard to causal relationship, poverty is not the Granger-cause of industry growth; also, the added value shock of industrial activities had no impact on poverty at the moment of shock occurrence. Moreover, in the analysis of variance, the value added of industrial activities does not explain the as much of intensity of urban poverty as much. Therefore, the results of applying the panel-VAR approach indicate the small impacts of the value added of industrial activities with ten employees and more on the severity of urban poverty. These findings can be used in developing executive and research strategies.
工业部门对伊朗各省减贫的影响
本文考察了伊朗各省工业部门对减贫的影响。为此,首先在各省城市地区测量平方贫困差距指数(FGT(2));然后,这些由10名或更多员工进行的工业活动的增加值在ISIC 2位数代码级别上聚集。最后,使用面板var方法,评估了2004-2015年期间伊朗所有省份工业部门对贫困的影响。结果表明,在工业车间生产率水平较高的省份,贫困强度较低。因此,在工业车间的高生产率水平下,工业与贫困之间存在显著的关系。结果还表明,在因果关系方面,贫困不是产业增长的格兰杰原因;此外,在冲击发生时,产业活动的附加值冲击对贫困没有影响。此外,在方差分析中,工业活动的增加值并不能解释城市贫困的强度。因此,应用面板var方法的结果表明,10名及以上员工的工业活动的增加值对城市贫困严重程度的影响较小。这些发现可用于制定执行和研究策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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