Sustainable Management of Natural Tourism: Effect of Government Expenditure, Income per Capita and Number of Visits to Conservation Forest in Jambi Province

Abstract

 tonalubis@gmail.com Abstract Influence of Government Expenditure, Income per Capita and Number of Visits to Conservation Forest in Jambi Province 2002-2016. The purpose of this research are: 1) to analyze the benefit cost of conservation forest management in Jambi Province; 2) to analyze the effect of number of domestic visits (X1), number of overseas visits (X2), per Capita income of Jambi Province (X3), per Capita income abroad (Japan, South Korea, Netherlands, UK, Germany, USA) (X4), and government expenditure (X5) in total to Non-Tax State Revenues (NTSR) of conservation forest in Jambi Province (Y); 3) to analyze the effect of number of domestic visits (X1), number of overseas visits (X2), per capita income of Jambi Province (X3), per capita income abroad (Japan, South Korea, Netherlands, UK, Germany, USA) (X4), and government expenditure (X5) individually on Non-Tax State Revenue (NTSR) of conservation forest in Jambi Province (Y). Data analysis was performed using benefit cost ratio (BCR) analysis, and multiple linear regression test. The benefit cost ratio analysis is an investment feasibility assessment. If BCR ≥ 1, then the project is feasible, and vice versa.The results of the calculation of BCR all get a value of <1, so the project concluded it is not feasible, because conservation forest management is not to be taken material profit, but more towards environmental services in this case precisely priceless. Partially (individual) only the variables X1, X2, X3 that affect Y, while X4 and X5 have