Bribes in the Business Cycles

Loris Rubini
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Firms in countries with poor enforcement of property rights are often subject to extortions, which impact the business cycle. Unlike taxes, extortions respond endogenously to exogenous shocks, potentially affecting the volatility of investment, consumption, and GDP. In this study I introduce extortions into a real business cycles framework. The model features an intermediary that demands bribes from firms. In steady state, weak property rights induce higher bribes, lower GDP per capita, and lower investment to GDP ratios. Along the business cycle, they reduce the correlation between investment and output, and amplify the volatility of consumption and investment relative to output. I find this to be in line with the data. My framework accounts for the empirical finding that growth policies are usually more successful in countries with strong enforcement of property rights.
商业周期中的贿赂
在产权执行不力的国家,公司经常受到敲诈勒索,这影响了商业周期。与税收不同,敲诈勒索会内生地响应外生冲击,潜在地影响投资、消费和GDP的波动。在本研究中,我将敲诈勒索引入一个真实的商业周期框架。该模型的特点是一个向公司索取贿赂的中介。在稳定状态下,弱产权会导致更高的贿赂、更低的人均GDP和更低的投资占GDP的比例。在经济周期中,它们降低了投资和产出之间的相关性,放大了消费和投资相对于产出的波动性。我发现这与数据相符。我的框架解释了一项实证发现,即在产权执行力度较大的国家,增长政策通常更为成功。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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