Analysis of Factors Affecting House Ownership in Indonesia

T. Kusuma
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the variables that significantly and effectively affect the policy of house ownership in an effort to increase the house ownership in Indonesia. The research used Tawhidi String Relationship (TSR) methodology with circular causation through simultaneous equations as a quantitative analysis tool. Variables that are expected to affect the house ownership are 1) Sharia Financing, 2) Commercial Funding Cost, 3) House Sale Price, 4) Consumer Confidence, 5) Home Business Tendency, 6) Number of Houses Available and 7) Housing Infrastructure.This study uses secondary data sourced from Bank Indonesia, Financial Services Authority, Central Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of PUPR and some other supporting data from institutions and companies. The data used is monthly panel data from January 2005 to December 2016. The research method used is quantitative method with simultaneous equation analysis to see the causal relationship between the variables with Two Stages Least Square model (2SLS). The hioptesis test used at 95% significance level. The results show that Shariah Financing, Commercial Funding Costs, Business Tendencies, Number of Houses Available and Infrastructure House affect each other positively and significantly the Number of House Ownership. On the other hand, although it is theoretically influential, the House Sale Price and Consumer Confidence do not affect the House ownership. Based on the results of the study, it is suggested to the Government and the stakeholders of housing to focus on the creation of policies involving significant and positive variables affecting the house ownership. The limitation of this research is that this research is only done from quantitative perspective, does not use certain weight on each variable and not done quantitative simulation for more effective house ownership policy.
印度尼西亚住房所有权影响因素分析
本研究旨在分析显著而有效地影响住房所有权政策的变量,以努力提高印度尼西亚的住房所有权。本研究采用Tawhidi弦关系(TSR)方法,通过联立方程进行循环因果关系分析,作为定量分析工具。预计影响房屋所有权的变量是1)伊斯兰融资,2)商业融资成本,3)房屋销售价格,4)消费者信心,5)家庭商业趋势,6)可用房屋数量和7)住房基础设施。本研究使用的二手数据来自印度尼西亚银行、金融服务管理局、中央统计局、PUPR部以及其他一些机构和公司的辅助数据。使用的数据为2005年1月至2016年12月的月度面板数据。研究方法采用联立方程分析的定量方法,采用两阶段最小二乘模型(2SLS)考察变量之间的因果关系。hioptesis检验采用95%显著性水平。结果表明,伊斯兰融资、商业融资成本、商业倾向、可用住房数量和基础设施住房数量之间存在显著的正向影响。另一方面,房屋销售价格和消费者信心虽然在理论上有影响,但对房屋所有权没有影响。根据研究结果,建议政府和房屋利益相关者专注于制定涉及影响房屋所有权的重要和积极变量的政策。本研究的局限性在于,本研究只是从定量的角度进行研究,没有对每个变量使用一定的权重,也没有对更有效的住房所有权政策进行定量模拟。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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