35-Year Performance Analysis of Cboe S&P 500 Option-Selling Indices

Keith H. Black, E. Szado
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Abstract

This article considers a number of Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 option-writing benchmark indices to provide insight into the potential performance of some typical option-writing strategies. In particular, the article discusses covered calls, put writing, covered combos, and butterfly spreads and condors. All six of the Cboe option-writing indices generated positive alpha over the period of study spanning more than a third of a century. Option writing is generally expected to generate abnormal returns by collecting significant premium income. On average, if options are sold at implied volatilities above the subsequently realized volatility, the strategies should generate positive alpha. However, this alpha may not represent true risk-adjusted performance but rather risk premium compensation for taking on short volatility risk. The strategies underlying these indices may be of interest to equity market investors that are willing to sacrifice some potential upside while assuming short volatility risk, in exchange for risk reduction, income enhancement, or both.
芝加哥期权交易所标准普尔500期权卖出指数35年表现分析
本文考虑了芝加哥期权交易所(Cboe)标准普尔(S&P) 500期权书写基准指数,以深入了解一些典型的期权书写策略的潜在表现。特别地,本文讨论了有盖叫法、放法、有盖连击、蝴蝶招式和秃鹰招式。在逾三分之一个世纪的研究期间,芝加哥期权交易所(Cboe)所有六个期权交易指数都产生了正alpha。期权书写通常被期望通过收集大量的期权收入而产生异常收益。平均而言,如果期权以高于随后实现波动率的隐含波动率出售,该策略应产生正alpha。然而,这个alpha可能并不代表真正的风险调整后的表现,而是承担短期波动风险的风险溢价补偿。股票市场投资者可能对这些指数背后的策略感兴趣,他们愿意牺牲一些潜在的上行空间,同时承担短期波动风险,以换取风险降低、收入增加,或两者兼而有之。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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