Role of location of household and its socio-economic status on energy consumption dynamics in rural Nepal: a categorical data analysis

Jyoti U. Devkota
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Abstract

This study is based on data collected from two sample surveys. They are namely survey of 300 households of national grid energy users and 400 households of biogas users. It was conducted in three different rural settings of Nepal. The responses to questions were classified into multiple choice options. This generated categorical data and reduced ambiguity and confusion between interviewer and interviewee. Such data were classified into ordinal scale and modelled. As the dependent variable had more than two categories, polytomous and not dichotomous models are developed and fitted. Ten different hypotheses assessing and measuring the energy consumption dynamics are tested. Values of parameters of these model and odds ratio are used in quantifying the impact of change with respect to energy consumption. The variables considered were namely time spent in the collection of firewood, type of house, amount of firewood saved, time saved, employer and school located within 15 min distance. Such data based studies are very crucial for country like Nepal which lacks a strong backbone of accurate and regularly updated official records. They can be generalized to other counties of Asia and Africa. Such results provide guidelines to policy makers and planners regarding formulation of realistic energy policies for such countries.
家庭位置及其社会经济地位对尼泊尔农村能源消费动态的作用:分类数据分析
这项研究是基于从两次抽样调查中收集的数据。分别是对300户国家电网能源用户家庭和400户沼气用户家庭的调查。该研究在尼泊尔三个不同的农村环境中进行。对问题的回答分为多项选择选项。这产生了分类数据,减少了访谈者和受访者之间的歧义和混淆。这些数据被分类为有序尺度并建模。由于因变量有两个以上的类别,因此建立和拟合了多分式而非二分式模型。测试了评估和测量能源消耗动态的十种不同假设。这些模型的参数值和比值比用于量化变化对能源消耗的影响。考虑的变量包括收集柴火所花费的时间、房屋类型、节省的柴火数量、节省的时间、15分钟距离内的雇主和学校。这种基于数据的研究对于尼泊尔这样缺乏准确和定期更新官方记录的强大支柱的国家非常重要。它们可以推广到亚洲和非洲的其他国家。这些结果为决策者和规划人员提供了为这些国家制订切合实际的能源政策的指导方针。
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