Explaining Africa’s Rapid Population Growth, 1950 to 2020: Trends, Factors, Implications, and Recommendations

A. Kaba
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引用次数: 13

Abstract

This study examines the rapid growth of Africa’s population in the post-World War II era. The study finds that Africa’s population increased by over 1 billion, from 228.7 million in 1950 to 1.341 billion in 2020: 431 million in Eastern Africa; 404 million in Western Africa; 247.5 million in Northern Africa; 193.5 million in Middle Africa; and 64.5 million in Southern Africa. There are four countries in Africa with populations of 100 million or more: 214 million in Nigeria; 108 million in Ethiopia; 104 million in Egypt; and 101.8 million in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Of the 1.341 billion people in Africa in 2020, 755.92 (56.4%) million are aged 24 and younger; and 533.5 (39.8%) million are under the age of 15. Some factors cited for this phenomenon are: high birth rates; high fertility rates; childbirth at a young age; low rates of contraceptive use; decline in infant mortality rates; decline in overall deaths rates; decline in maternal mortality rates; increase in life expectancy; and decline in HIV/AIDS related deaths. Some implications cited as a result of this phenomenon include increase in GDP and GDP per Capita in Africa; increase in the numbers of billionaires and millionaires in Africa; increase in political influence of African nations in the international community; and increase in the number of educated Africans, including those enrolled in college and college graduates. Finally, the study recommends that African nations should make the African Union a fully-fledged federal entity to be responsible for providing healthcare for the entire continent. The African Union should also represent all member states in the international community, including negotiating trade contracts or agreements.
解释非洲人口快速增长,1950年至2020年:趋势、因素、影响和建议
这项研究考察了二战后非洲人口的快速增长。研究发现,非洲人口增加了10多亿,从1950年的2.287亿增加到2020年的13.41亿:东非人口4.31亿;西非4.04亿;北非2.475亿;中非1.935亿;南部非洲有6450万人。非洲有四个国家的人口超过1亿:尼日利亚2.14亿;埃塞俄比亚1.08亿;埃及1.04亿;刚果民主共和国有1.018亿人。2020年非洲人口为13.41亿,其中75592万人(56.4%)年龄在24岁及以下;还有5.335亿(39.8%)人年龄在15岁以下。导致这一现象的一些因素是:高出生率;高生育率;年轻时分娩;避孕药具使用率低;婴儿死亡率下降;总死亡率下降;产妇死亡率下降;预期寿命增加;艾滋病毒/艾滋病相关死亡人数下降。这一现象所造成的影响包括非洲国内总产值和人均国内总产值的增加;非洲亿万富翁和百万富翁的数量增加;提高非洲国家在国际社会中的政治影响力;增加非洲受教育人数,包括大学入学人数和大学毕业生人数。最后,该研究建议非洲国家应使非洲联盟成为一个完全成熟的联邦实体,负责为整个非洲大陆提供医疗保健。非盟还应在国际社会中代表所有成员国,包括谈判贸易合同或协定。
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