Analytic Narratives, Case Studies, and Development

M. Levi, Barry R. Weingast
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Analytic narratives (Bates et al 1998, 2000; Levi 2002, 2004) involve selecting a problem or puzzle, then building a model to explicate the logic of an explanation for the puzzle or problem, often in the context of a unique case. The method involves several steps. First, the use of narrative to elucidate the principal players, their preferences, the key decision points and possible choices, and the rules of game, all in a textured and sequenced account. Second, building a model of the sequence of interaction, including predicted outcomes. This criterion generally involves an explicit game and hence an equilibrium. Third, the evaluation of the model through comparative statics and the testable implications the model generates. The analytic narrative approach is most useful to scholars who seek to evaluate the strength of parsimonious causal mechanisms in the context of a specific and often unique case. The requirement of explicit formal theorizing (or at least theory that could be formalized) compels scholars to make causal statements and to identify a small number of variables as central to understanding the case.
分析叙述,案例研究和发展
分析叙事(Bates et al . 1998,2000;Levi 2002, 2004)包括选择一个问题或难题,然后建立一个模型来解释这个难题或问题的解释逻辑,通常是在一个独特的案例背景下。这个方法包括几个步骤。首先,使用叙述来阐明主要玩家,他们的偏好,关键决策点和可能的选择,以及游戏规则,所有这些都是有条理和顺序的叙述。第二,建立包括预测结果在内的互动序列模型。这个标准通常涉及一个明确的博弈,因此是一个均衡。第三,通过比较静力学对模型进行评价,并对模型产生的可检验意义进行评价。分析叙事方法对于那些试图在特定且通常独特的案例背景下评估简约因果机制的强度的学者来说是最有用的。明确的形式化理论(或至少可以形式化的理论)的要求迫使学者做出因果陈述,并确定少数变量作为理解案例的核心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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