RUSSIA — MERCOSUR: IMPERATIVE AND POTENTIAL OF BILATERAL TRADE

Sergey А. Chirkin
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Abstract

The article examines the state and prospects of development of Russia’s foreign trade relations with MERCOSUR. In the light of the West’s anti-Russian sanctions, the position of the bloc’s member states on the development of economic relations with our country is characterized. The assessment of the macroeconomic significance of MERCOSUR and the main directions of its trade policy is given. Quantitative indicators on the volumes and dynamics of bilateral foreign trade turnover, the structure of exports and imports of goods are given. Taking into account favorable prerequisites for expanding trade and economic cooperation, using the methodology of the International Trade Center of the UN Conference on Trade and Development, the potential for increasing exports of Russian goods to MERCOSUR countries is calculated. As part of the analysis of the possibilities of diversifying the range of supplies of Russian products based on the Hausmann-Klinger methodology, the most promising Russian goods for entering the MERCOSUR market are identified. In conclusion, there are considerations aimed at intensifying bilateral trade and economic ties against the background of Western sanctions.
俄罗斯-南方共同市场:双边贸易的必要性和潜力
文章分析了俄罗斯与南方共同市场对外贸易关系的现状和发展前景。鉴于西方的反俄制裁,欧盟成员国对发展与我国经济关系的立场有其特点。对南方共同市场的宏观经济意义及其贸易政策的主要方向进行了评估。给出了双边外贸总额和动态、货物进出口结构的定量指标。考虑到扩大贸易和经济合作的有利条件,使用联合国贸易和发展会议国际贸易中心的方法,计算了增加俄罗斯商品出口到南方共同市场国家的潜力。作为根据豪斯曼-克林格尔方法对俄罗斯产品供应范围多样化可能性进行分析的一部分,确定了最有希望进入南方共同市场的俄罗斯商品。总之,在西方制裁的背景下,有一些旨在加强双边贸易和经济关系的考虑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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