A Risk-Effectiveness Design Method for Flare Height of Natural Gas Pipeline System

Xia Wu, Changjun Li, Wenlong Jia, JunCheng Mu
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Abstract

The objective of this research is to develop a risk-effectiveness design method for flare height of natural gas pipeline system. The advantage of the proposed design method over the traditional methods is the impacts of population density to flare risk are considered and more economic flare height could be obtained under lower risk levels. The conventional design methods obtain the same flare height for both high and low population density area. A risk-effectiveness model is established by combing the risk cost and the flare construction cost. The optimal flare height is the minimum value calculated by the first derivative of the model. An application is given to show the model's usability under different population densities. The flare height of 19.4m, 21.7 m, 24.3m, and 28.6m are obtained by the method for four different regions with the population densities of 5.2×10−5, 1×10−4, 3×10−4 and 7×10−4 person/m3. The increased flare height implies the increase of the risk levels accompanying with the increase of the population density. A comparison with the design results gained by the API RP 521 method is made to prove the effectiveness of the proposed method. Under the condition that the compensation per person is 40 times of the construction fees per meter, the flare heights get by the proposed method are 69.7%, 78.0%, 87.4% and 102.9% of the API design heights with the population densities of 5.2×10−5, 1×10−4, 3×10−4 and 7×10−4 person/m3. The results show that a lower flare height would be obtained by the proposed method with the population densities lower than 7×10−4 person/m3, and a direct construction saving could be gained under this circumstance, which proved the economy of the proposed method. The main novelty lies in the risk-effectiveness model which combines the loss of human injuries and the cost of flare construction to obtain the optimal design results for different regions. Compared with the traditional method, the proposed method can not only reflect the impact of the population density to flare risks, but is also more economical under certain circumstance. This makes it possible to gain more benefits for flare operators under low risk levels.
天然气管道系统火炬高度的风险有效性设计方法
本文的研究目的是建立天然气管道系统火炬高度的风险有效性设计方法。与传统设计方法相比,该设计方法的优点是考虑了人口密度对火炬风险的影响,在较低的风险水平下可以获得较高的经济火炬高度。传统的设计方法在人口密度高和人口密度低的地区获得相同的火炬高度。将风险成本与火炬建设成本相结合,建立了风险效益模型。最优耀斑高度是由模型的一阶导数计算出的最小值。通过实例验证了该模型在不同人口密度下的可用性。在人口密度分别为5.2×10−5、1×10−4、3×10−4和7×10−4人/m3的4个不同区域,采用该方法得到的耀斑高度分别为19.4m、21.7 m、24.3m和28.6m。随着人口密度的增加,耀斑高度的增加意味着危险等级的增加。并与API RP 521方法的设计结果进行了比较,验证了该方法的有效性。在每人补偿为每米工程费40倍的条件下,在人口密度分别为5.2×10−5、1×10−4、3×10−4和7×10−4人/m3的情况下,采用该方法得到的火炬高度分别为API设计高度的69.7%、78.0%、87.4%和102.9%。结果表明,在人口密度低于7×10−4人/m3的情况下,采用该方法可获得较低的火炬高度,并可直接节省施工费用,证明了该方法的经济性。其新颖之处在于风险-效果模型,该模型将人员伤害损失与火炬建造成本相结合,以获得不同区域的最优设计结果。与传统方法相比,所提出的方法不仅能反映人口密度对耀斑风险的影响,而且在一定情况下更经济。这使得火炬操作员在低风险水平下获得更多利益成为可能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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