The application of Markov skeleton process on the infectious disease management model

Abstract

This paper is devoted to studying the infectious disease management model by using the theory of Markov skeleton process by Zhengting Hou etc, and draw the conclusion that the number of infection at any time in the future is a minimum nonnegative solution of a nonnegative linear equation, so we can forecast the number of infection in an area at any time in the future, a case study has proved the effectiveness of the method.