Conflict Dynamics in Post-2003 Iraq: A Security Dilemma Perspective

Hawkar J. Majeed, I. Hossain
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Abstract

A decade and a half since the U.S. invasion, Iraq remains affected by complicated and increasingly changing uncertainties. Intrastate division and lack of social stability are expressed in ethnic and sectarian hostilities. In view of different reasons, 16 years after establishing the new Iraq, this paper asks: why has Iraq been marked by instability, transformation, and inability to maintain stability and peace? This paper explains the ethno-sectarian interactions in Iraq with the help of the theory of security dilemma and explores the derailment of Iraq's transformation process and the beginning of a new period of confrontation from a security dilemma viewpoint. The findings suggest that the security dilemma and ethno-sectarian conflict are further intensified by Kurdish, Shiite, and Sunni groups attempting to assess the threats posed not only by enemy militias but also by the presence of all groups in close proximity.
2003年后伊拉克的冲突动态:安全困境的视角
自美国入侵伊拉克15年以来,伊拉克仍然受到复杂和日益变化的不确定因素的影响。国家内部的分裂和缺乏社会稳定表现在种族和宗派敌对中。鉴于不同的原因,在新伊拉克建立16年后,本文提出了一个问题:为什么伊拉克的特点是不稳定、转型和无法维持稳定与和平?本文借助安全困境理论来解释伊拉克的民族-宗派互动,并从安全困境的角度探讨伊拉克转型过程的脱轨和新的对抗时期的开始。研究结果表明,由于库尔德人、什叶派和逊尼派团体试图评估不仅由敌对民兵构成的威胁,而且由附近所有团体的存在构成的威胁,安全困境和种族-宗派冲突进一步加剧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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