An Efficiency Paradox of Uberization

Kenan Zhang, Hongyu Chen, Song Yao, Linli Xu, Jiaoju Ge, Xiaobo Liu, Marco Nie
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

Uberization promises to transform society based on an intuitive proposition: Advanced peer-to-peer matching guarantees greater overall efficiency. Here we show a paradox challenging this proposition in uberized ride-hail service, known as e-hail. By analyzing hundreds of local markets in Shenzhen, China, we discover e-hail is outperformed—in terms of wait time and trip production—by taxis hailed off street in areas with high densities of passengers and drivers. This paradox arises because a quicker match does not always expedite and enhance a service. On the contrary, it can induce competition that undermines the network effect, making a passenger less likely to benefit from more drivers, and vice versa, in e-hail than in taxi service. Consequently, simply attracting more users may not improve e-hail’s efficiency (defined as trip production at a given density of passengers and drivers), because its competitive edge diminishes with scale. The finding implies uberization has a limited impact on efficiency and is unlikely to create a “winner-take-all” in transportation.
优步化的效率悖论
优步化承诺基于一个直观的命题来改变社会:先进的点对点匹配保证了更高的整体效率。在这里,我们展示了一个挑战这一命题的悖论,在优步叫车服务中,被称为e-hail。通过对中国深圳数百个本地市场的分析,我们发现,在乘客和司机密度较高的地区,在等待时间和行程产出方面,e-叫车的表现优于出租车。之所以出现这种矛盾,是因为更快的匹配并不总是加快和增强服务。相反,它可能会引发竞争,破坏网络效应,使乘客不太可能从更多的司机中受益,反之亦然,在电子叫车服务中比在出租车服务中。因此,仅仅吸引更多的用户可能不会提高网约车的效率(定义为在给定的乘客和司机密度下的出行产量),因为它的竞争优势会随着规模的扩大而减弱。这一发现表明,优步化对效率的影响有限,不太可能在交通运输领域产生“赢家通吃”的局面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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