STUDY OF THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE AMOUNT OF PRUNING IN THE OLIVE GROVE USING GEOSTATISTICAL ALGORITHMS

Antonio Rodriguez Lizana, M. Pereira, Alzira Ramos, Manuel Moreno Garcia, M. Ribeiro
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Abstract

Olive pruning mulch modifies the physical, chemical and biological properties of the soil. They are an efficient soil and water conservation system, while simultaneously improving the organic matter content of the soil. In any case, their effect on soil properties is a function of the densities provided. In any agricultural field, there can be significant variations in plant size, which can affect the amount of pruning obtained. In this research, a spatial sampling of pruning amount collected in olive trees (n=59) in a 13.1-ha traditional olive grove located in Cordoba (Spain), was conducted to estimate the mean pruning amount and assess its spatial uncertainty. In addition, the projected areas of all trees in the field (n=928) were determined. Tree projected area was found to be well correlated with the amount of pruning (Pearson correlation coefficient value of 0.74). The spatial continuity of the study variables was determined using isotropic variograms with nested spherical models. Direct sequential simulation and cosimulation algorithms were used to generate 125 realizations of each variable and map the spatial uncertainty of the amount of pruning in unsampled areas. The results indicate that pruning amounts exhibit spatial continuity. The projected area of the trees is a useful variable to improve estimates of total amount of pruning.
利用地统计算法研究橄榄园修剪量的不确定性
橄榄修剪覆盖物改变了土壤的物理、化学和生物特性。它们是一种有效的水土保持系统,同时提高了土壤的有机质含量。在任何情况下,它们对土壤性质的影响是所提供密度的函数。在任何农业领域,植株大小都可能有显著的变化,这可能会影响所获得的修剪量。本研究对位于西班牙科尔多瓦(Cordoba)的一个13.1 ha传统橄榄林中的橄榄树(n=59)进行了剪枝量的空间采样,以估算平均剪枝量并评估其空间不确定性。此外,还确定了野外所有树木(n=928)的投影面积。树木投影面积与剪枝量有良好的相关关系(Pearson相关系数为0.74)。研究变量的空间连续性是用各向同性变差函数和嵌套的球形模型确定的。使用直接序列模拟和协同模拟算法生成每个变量的125个实现,并绘制未采样区域修剪量的空间不确定性。结果表明,采伐量具有空间连续性。树木的投影面积是一个有用的变量,可以提高对修剪总量的估计。
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