Applying Bayes linear methods to support reliability procurement decisions

T. Bedford, R. Denning, M. Revie, L. Walls
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

With the support of the United Kingdom Ministry of Defence (MOD), the Bayes linear method has been used to support reliability decision making on two 'live' projects. This paper focuses on one of these projects and shows how the Bayes linear methodology has been used to support decision making. The construction of a Bayes linear model comprises three parts. First, we need to structure the model. Second, we need to populate the model with our decision maker's beliefs. Finally, we must analyze the model once observed data has become available. This paper will briefly discuss how this has been carried out.
应用贝叶斯线性方法支持可靠性采购决策
在英国国防部(MOD)的支持下,贝叶斯线性方法已被用于支持两个“实时”项目的可靠性决策。本文着重于其中一个项目,并展示了如何使用贝叶斯线性方法来支持决策。贝叶斯线性模型的构建包括三个部分。首先,我们需要构建模型。其次,我们需要用决策者的信念填充模型。最后,一旦观测数据可用,我们必须分析模型。本文将简要讨论这是如何进行的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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