Risk Analysis Based on Quantum Theory

Yan Zhimei, Pan Ping
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Abstract

The risk is uncertain. It is impossible to determine the influence of a risk by default risk, but only to cognize the influence degree of its existence. In an open behavior system, according to the quantum theory, the risk is reflected in the wave function of the behavioral system, and at risk, the dynamic evolution of the system is determined by the environmental Hamiltonian in system Hamiltonian. When the environment is perfectly correlated to the eigenvalue of the behavior subject, it does not affect its evolution, and the risk is controllable. Otherwise, the risk will harm the evolution of the behavior subject. Meanwhile, the corresponding control strategy is proposed through the dynamic analysis of the evolution of quantum wave function.
基于量子理论的风险分析
风险是不确定的。通过违约风险来确定风险的影响是不可能的,而只能认识其存在的影响程度。在开放行为系统中,根据量子理论,风险反映在行为系统的波函数中,在风险时,系统的动态演化由系统哈密顿量中的环境哈密顿量决定。当环境与行为主体的特征值完全相关时,不影响其演化,风险是可控的。否则,风险将损害行为主体的进化。同时,通过对量子波函数演化的动态分析,提出了相应的控制策略。
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