JAMSTEC Model Intercomparision Project (JMIP)

C. Kodama, A. Kuwano‐Yoshida, S. Watanabe, T. Doi, H. Kashimura, T. Nasuno
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Abstract

The JAMSTEC Model Intercomparison Project (JMIP) provides a first opportunity to systematically compare multiple global models developed and/or used in JAMSTEC with the aim of moving toward better weather and climate predictions. Here, we evaluate climate simulations obtained from atmospheric models (AFES and MIROC5), atmospheric model with slab ocean (NICAM.12), and fully coupled model (SINTEX-F1 and SINTEX-F2). In these simulations, the sea surface temperature is fixed (for AFES and MIROC5) or nudged (NICAM.12, SINTEX-F1, and SINTEX-F2) to the observed historical one. We focus on the climatology and variability of precipitation and its associated phenomena, including the basic state, the energy budget of the atmosphere, extratropical cyclones, teleconnection, and the Asian monsoon. We further discuss the possible causes of similarities and differences among the five JMIP models. Though some or most of the dynamical and physical packages in the JMIP models have been developed independently, common model biases are found among them. The AFES and MIROC5, and the SINTEX-F1 and SINTEX-F2, show strong similarities. In many respects, NICAM.12 shows unique characteristics, such as the distributions of precipitation, shortwave radiation, and explosive extratropical cyclones and the onset of the Asian summer monsoon. To some extent, the similarities and differences among the JMIP models overlap with those among the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 (CMIP5) models, suggesting that JMIP can be used as a simple and in-depth version of CMIP to investigate the mechanisms of model bias. We suggest that this JMIP framework could be expanded to an intercomparison of weekly-to-seasonal scale weather forecasting; here, more fruitful discussion is expected through intensive collaboration among modeling and observation groups.
JAMSTEC模型比较项目(JMIP)
JAMSTEC模式比对项目(JMIP)提供了第一次系统地比较JAMSTEC开发和/或使用的多个全球模式的机会,目的是更好地预测天气和气候。本文对大气模式(AFES和MIROC5)、带板块海洋的大气模式(NICAM.12)和完全耦合模式(SINTEX-F1和SINTEX-F2)的气候模拟结果进行了评价。在这些模拟中,海面温度被固定(对于AFES和MIROC5)或被推(NICAM.12, SINTEX-F1和SINTEX-F2)到观测到的历史温度。我们关注降水及其相关现象的气候学和变率,包括基本状态、大气能量收支、温带气旋、遥相关和亚洲季风。我们进一步讨论了五种JMIP模型之间异同的可能原因。虽然JMIP模型中的一些或大多数动力学和物理包是独立开发的,但它们之间存在共同的模型偏差。AFES和MIROC5、SINTEX-F1和SINTEX-F2具有很强的相似性。在许多方面,NICAM.12显示出独特的特征,例如降水、短波辐射和爆炸性温带气旋的分布以及亚洲夏季风的开始。在一定程度上,JMIP模型与CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5)模型之间的异同有重叠,表明JMIP可以作为CMIP的一个简单而深入的版本来研究模型偏差的机制。我们建议该JMIP框架可以扩展到周-季节尺度天气预报的相互比较;在这里,通过模型组和观察组之间的密切合作,期望进行更富有成效的讨论。
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